(Map of Kuril Islands disputed by Japan and Russia) A new template is forming in the geopolitics of the Asia-Pacific – Russo-Japanese concord. The two regional powers with a troubled history are moving in the direction of concluding a peace treaty that could formally end their World War 2 hostilities and open a new page …
Maldives poses formidable challenges for India
(Maldives President Ibrahim Mohamed Soilh) In South Asia, democracy wears a tired look generally, and Maldives stands out as exception. After all, the old regime, which was much maligned by Indians, did allow free and fair elections, took their defeat gracefully (although winning over 40% votes) and when the day dawned on November 17, stepped …
Continue reading “Maldives poses formidable challenges for India”
It’s time for Trump to revisit Afghan strategy
(Russia, Central Asia and Afghanistan) Surely, the recent Moscow conference on Afghanistan (November 9) brought to light that the peace talks will get a big fillip if the US and Russia work in tandem. (See my column in SCF titled US Can Avoid Afghan Quagmire with Russia’s Help, Nov 15, 2018.) Everything depends on the …
Continue reading “It’s time for Trump to revisit Afghan strategy”
Quad recedes into shade. It’s the RCEP, stupid!
(Second RCEP Summit, Singapore, Nov 14, 2018) The ill-starred quadrilateral Joint-Secretary level format of ‘Asian democracies’ – US, Japan, Australia and India – would have held its third meeting in Singapore on Wednesday. Again, there was no joint statement issued after the meeting. In fact, unlike previous occasions when the four Asian democracies issued press …
Continue reading “Quad recedes into shade. It’s the RCEP, stupid!”
PM Modi’s Singapore trip prompts rethink on BRI
Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s hurried 36-hour visit to Singapore to attend the 13th East Asia Summit, Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership and other associated meetings of the ASEAN Summit compares with the full five working days from Monday to Friday that his Chinese counterpart Li Keqiang will be camping in the port city with much the same …
Continue reading “PM Modi’s Singapore trip prompts rethink on BRI”
India and the Afghan transitions
(Moscow conference on Afghanistan, Nov 9, 2018) Political transition has been a recurring feature of Afghanistan’s modern history. Once in every 10-20 years, transitions appeared – the coup d’etat against King Zahir Shah in 1973, the violent takeover by the communists in 1978 (“Saur Revolution”), the collapse of the communist government and its replacement by …
Russia keeps Israel’s Netanyahu in anteroom
It is over a month since Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu had announced that he was going to Moscow to meet Russian President Vladimir Putin with a view to open a new page in the relations between the two countries following the incident over Syrian skies on September 17 when a Russian reconnaissance plane was …
Continue reading “Russia keeps Israel’s Netanyahu in anteroom”
US, China tiptoeing toward trade deal
(US-China Security & Diplomatic Dialogue, Nov 9, 2018) The joint press conference in Washington on Friday after the second US-China 2+2 (“Diplomatic & Security Dialogue”) throws much light on the tango between the two big powers. Delhi must draw some serious conclusions. Broadly, the American side is adopting a two-track approach – on the one …
A game changer for India-China relations
The National Security Advisor Ajit Doval is heading for China for the Special Representatives talks on November 23-25 with the Chinese State Councilor and Foreign Minister Wang Yi. This will be the last round of talks in that format during the Modi government’s remaining term in office. The format provided a unique opportunity to cover …
UAE, Saudi sense convergence with Syria
(Turkey & the Persian Gulf) The reported plan by the United Arab Emirates to reopen its embassy in Damascus shortly leads to a startlingly new alignment on the map of the Middle East. At the most obvious level, it signals the realization among the Gulf States that the brutal war to overthrow the Syrian government …